Now German Chancellor Merkel is in deep political trouble after the election results in North Rhine-Westphalia in Western Germany. Merkel's party, the Christian Democrats, had their worst showing in NRW since World War Two ended. They received just under 26 percent of the vote, having received 35 percent two years ago.
That pretty much completes the cycle. No political leaders that stood in 2010 are going to survive the Merkel-Sarcozy bailout and austerity program, including Merkel. She is up next year and it is obvious that her political day in the sun is over. Germans aren't interested in underwriting the Greeco-Spano-Italo-Portugo-French welfare states. They won't do it and no government will survive that promises to do it.
The problem for all of Europe and really all of the western advanced economies is that they are out of chips. Some can play a few more hands before it is over, but all of them are in the same boat -- no money.
Neither side of the Eurozone crisis makes any sense: There is no reason for Germans to bail out Greeks and there is no reason for Greeks to adopt austerity. Neither position makes any sense and both Germans and Greeks will toss out any leaders that pursue such policies. Plain old-fashioned honesty is the right solution. The Greek debts cannot be paid. End of subject. It is time to face that fact.
What needs to be done is a "workout." Greece needs to sit down with its creditors and offer them 15 cents on the dollar or whatever and get this done. If that means some banks fail, they would fail anyway, since Greek debt probably isn't worth 15 cents on the dollar. Governments can nationalize their banks and deal with the resulting financial crisis by reorganizing the bank balance sheets (bank bond holders become equity holders to some extent) and then putting them back into private hands.
This solution averts the abandonment of the Euro and is simply dealing with an unpayable obligation in the only way that is possible to deal with an unpayable obligation. The politicians have been simply making things worse by pretending that there is some other solution that works. There is no other solution that works.
Sunday, May 13, 2012
Tuesday, May 1, 2012
More On Your Tuition Dollars
Brown University is good-hearted. So much so, that they announced today that they would donate $ 31.5 million to the city of Providence, Rhode Island. In a Wall Street Journal story today, Brown's president, Ruth Simmon, was quoted as saying that "Brown is deeply concerned about Providence's financial situation." And well they should be. Providence's finances have gone down the chute as one might expect based upon a public employee pension fund that is, at best, 70 percent underfunded.
The story in the Journal, goes on: "Providence has been negotiating with Brown and its six other largest tax-exempt nonprofits to make more voluntary payments in lieu of taxes."
So, now, when you ask: why do these Universities (and other worthy tax exempt institutions) need so much money? Part of the answer is that they are funding bankrupt cities like Providence. This is not the only absurd expenditure embarked upon by today's colleges and universities, but it is an expenditure, like a host of others, that has nothing whatsoever to do with providing anyone with a college education.
The story in the Journal, goes on: "Providence has been negotiating with Brown and its six other largest tax-exempt nonprofits to make more voluntary payments in lieu of taxes."
So, now, when you ask: why do these Universities (and other worthy tax exempt institutions) need so much money? Part of the answer is that they are funding bankrupt cities like Providence. This is not the only absurd expenditure embarked upon by today's colleges and universities, but it is an expenditure, like a host of others, that has nothing whatsoever to do with providing anyone with a college education.
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